A loyalty programme has to be simple. Easy enough to understand, easy enough to use, easy enough to return to. And any brand getting into loyalty copies the basics from someone else, in some form or another. There isn't much variation on a functional level.
That is exactly the problem now. The simplicity, and quite frankly, the blandness, is what makes comparing so easy. People never put in that effort before. We have AI for that now. Based on a Logica Research with 3000 online shoppers, 83% see a clear benefit in using AI, led by saving time and better prices. It's been a great period for the cheapest milk brand.
AI reads the terms, ranks you against your competitors, works out which categories and products are cheapest where and when, and bypasses all the sexy stuff you built around it. Nothing gets missed. The welcome discount, the birthday voucher, the seasonal promo. All of those numbers and conditions, one prompt away.
But perhaps this is a good thing.
What most brands call loyalty has carried on discounts and points for far too long anyway. It hasn’t paid off as much as brands think it did, which is often a measurement issue. And the industry has known that for a while. Let me backtrack that. The industry should have known that for a while.
Ehrenberg-Bass has been making an unglamorous version of this point for decades. Loyalty programmes mostly collect the people who were already buying you, skewing hard toward your existing heavy buyers. You are paying to keep people coming who were coming anyway, and it may not be changing their behaviour all that much.
What is new is that it becomes visible. Brands will see baskets getting smaller and frequency dropping, with nothing in the dashboard saying why. The reflex will be to pull the only lever they know, which is more discount. A losing game, if you ask me.